Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 6.615377e-01 0.859231 1.082883 1.351344 1.661587 2.005776 2.413384
2025-02-23 3.865064e-01 0.626680 0.936264 1.349180 1.870548 2.493084 3.278545
2025-03-02 2.126930e-01 0.447204 0.795434 1.309834 2.012383 2.903715 4.085173
2025-03-09 1.353234e-01 0.367671 0.759950 1.389805 2.302660 3.512085 5.170135
2025-03-16 7.441739e-02 0.280134 0.683066 1.388902 2.472934 3.968283 6.081431
2025-03-23 4.835137e-02 0.244987 0.680178 1.493858 2.795708 4.641375 7.302311
2025-03-30 2.854795e-02 0.207447 0.659684 1.562211 3.063636 5.246796 8.451832
2025-04-06 1.450755e-02 0.168924 0.623025 1.592989 3.270304 5.769442 9.501694
2025-04-13 5.020956e-03 0.125219 0.556345 1.554645 3.357989 6.117512 10.314896
2025-04-20 1.533704e-03 0.099316 0.521559 1.568431 3.527105 6.587421 11.308268
2025-04-27 2.596907e-04 0.078726 0.491079 1.583670 3.695743 7.058715 12.312055
2025-05-04 2.731529e-08 0.055380 0.436817 1.536722 3.748853 7.350744 13.060189
2025-05-11 NaN 0.036463 0.383098 1.481883 3.786389 7.625921 13.802695
2025-05-18 NaN 0.026271 0.355970 1.484252 3.928154 8.070660 14.807950
2025-05-25 NaN 0.016365 0.315953 1.444613 3.985335 8.379325 15.615869
2025-06-01 NaN 0.014300 0.322833 1.531257 4.292677 9.105199 17.068801
2025-06-08 NaN 0.009461 0.300202 1.530928 4.426361 9.547084 18.097352
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008942 0.315614 1.643288 4.792551 10.385018 19.746276
2025-06-22 NaN 0.007389 0.317864 1.716343 5.081178 11.098746 21.214765
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005246 0.307615 1.749230 5.287829 11.678287 22.484641
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002606 0.276295 1.708416 5.336590 11.989211 23.341560
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001499 0.262897 1.723134 5.502828 12.504023 24.523250
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000790 0.250802 1.739385 5.671906 13.025922 25.721759